Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2016

Subject: LCSH

Wheat, Wheat farmers--Kansas, Agricultural productivity--Climatic factors

JEL Classification

Q11, Q50, Q54

Disciplines

Ecology and Evolutionary Biology | Economics

Abstract

This paper studies the effect of climate change on wheat production in Kansas using annual time series data from 1949 to 2014. For the study, an error correction model is developed in which the price of wheat, the price of oats (substitute good), average annual temperature and average annual precipitation are used as explanatory variables with total output of wheat being the dependent variable. Time series properties of the data series are diagnosed using unit root and cointegration tests. The estimated results suggest that Kansas farmers are supply responsive to both wheat as well as its substitute (oat) prices in the short run as well as in the long run. Climate variables; temperature has a positive effect on wheat output in the short run but an insignificant effect in the long run. Precipitation has a positive effect in the short run but a negative effect in the long run.

Comments

International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 (CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0) International License.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0 License.

Publisher Citation

Howard, J., Cakan, E., Upadhyaya, K. P. (2016). Climate Change and Its Impact on Wheat Production in Kansas. International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics, 4(2), 1-10. www.foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol4.no2.pp1.pdf

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